Rocklands–Smiths Road Fire, 2026: What changed between two Watch and Act warnings?

Victoria, Australia · 27 January–11 February 2026

A resident of Rocklands reading the alert level twice on 27 January would have seen the same words: Watch and Act. Reading the instruction underneath would have told a different story. The first message asked people to leave. The second asked them to monitor conditions. Neither marked the time the fire was contained.

Two messages on the same evening

The first archived VicEmergency notice, effective at 5:25 pm AEDT, named five localities: Balmoral, Hynes, Kanagulk, Rocklands and Telangatuk East. The later notice, effective at 7:03 pm AEDT, named Rocklands and Telangatuk East and reported a reduced threat. These are effective times, not the timestamps of later edits to the archived pages.

The two notices therefore document a change in the advice for Rocklands and Telangatuk East. On their own, they do not tell us which advice applied next in the three places omitted from the second notice, or how many people acted on either message.

What crews were still doing

The Victorian Government submission to the parliamentary inquiry (Table 19 and the account on pp. 136–137) records a 69-hectare fire. A tower observer saw smoke on 27 January. That evening some trees were still burning west of the Glenelg River, and crews began assessing hazardous trees along Channel Road. The operational record places containment early on 28 January. It records subsequent patrols and work on dangerous trees, with Under Control 1 on 29 January, Under Control 2 on 4 February and Safe on 11 February.

Which area should an archive use?

The archived alert pages also display a field labelled “Size”. Its values differ between the messages and from the inquiry’s incident total. The alert pages do not define that field precisely enough to treat either number as burned hectares. Using the two values to plot a shrinking fire would turn an undocumented assumption about the data into a false account of fire behaviour. For this record, 69 hectares is the figure attributed to the incident report; the warnings establish what people in named places were told at particular times.

Limits of the record

A warning that the threat has eased, a crew report that a fire is contained and a declaration that the site is safe each answer a different question. None is a property damage survey. The government submission identifies a gap in formal impact reporting; it cannot support a claim that no structures were damaged.

Sources reviewed 4 November 2026. Historical warnings reproduced by ABC Emergency from VicEmergency data.