Wildfire Fire Growth Calculator

FIRE BEHAVIOUR · GEOMETRIC SCENARIO

Wildfire Fire Growth Calculator

Turn constant head and backing spread rates into an idealized fire ellipse. See how distance, width, area and perimeter scale with time—and exactly which assumptions drive the result.

Elliptical growthMetric / imperialInteractive geometry
Not a wildfire forecast or evacuation tool.Real fires respond to changing wind, terrain, fuel, suppression and spotting. Never use this page to predict arrival time or operational safety.

Growth scenario

MODELL = (Rhead + Rback)tW = L ÷ (L:B)A = πLW ÷ 4

IDEALIZED FOOTPRINT

54.74 ha

after 60 minutes

Idealized wildfire ellipseAn ellipse positioned around its ignition point.IGNITIONHEADBACK
Head distance1.20 km
Backing distance0.12 km
Total length1.32 km
Maximum width0.53 km
Ellipse perimeter3.04 km
Ignition offset0.54 km

Initial area, when entered, is added to the calculated ellipse area only; it does not alter the displayed axes.

READ THE SHAPE

The ignition point is not the centre.

When the head spreads faster than the backing edge, the geometric centre moves downwind. This calculator locates ignition from the two travelled distances rather than placing it at the middle of the ellipse.

01

Travel

Head and backing distance each equal their constant rate multiplied by time.

02

Length

Total major-axis length is the sum of the two distances from ignition.

03

Width

The selected length-to-breadth ratio determines maximum width.

04

Footprint

Ellipse area is exact; perimeter uses Ramanujan’s accurate approximation.

CONSTANT-CONDITION LIMIT

Useful for scenarios.
Wrong for certainty.

Ellipses are a common simplified representation of fire growth, especially under relatively uniform conditions. Operational simulators divide landscapes and time into many changing calculations; this page deliberately does not.

Not represented

  • Wind shifts or gust fronts
  • Slope and aspect changes
  • Fuel transitions and barriers
  • Spot fires and long-range embers
  • Suppression or containment
  • Topographic channeling

Sources and limitations

The ellipse is a transparent geometric scenario, not a substitute for FARSITE, FlamMap, official incident mapping or qualified fire-behaviour analysis.

USDA Forest Service: fire spread across landscapes · USDA Forest Service: mechanistic fire-pattern modelling · USDA Forest Service: FARSITE development

Quick answers

Why enter backing spread separately?

It locates the ignition point within the footprint and avoids assuming symmetric growth.

Where does flank spread appear?

It is implicit in the ellipse width selected through the length-to-breadth ratio.

Can the calculated area be compared with mapped acres?

Only as a simplified scenario under constant inputs—not as a reconstruction of an irregular perimeter.